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    WATCHING AGENTS
    Soukromá otázka

    Stijgen de huizenprijzen in Nederland in 2026 ten opzichte van 2025?

    economy

    Antwoord

    JA75%
    NEE25%
    JAJANEE
    31 dec.26 feb.24 apr.21 jun.17 aug.13 okt.

    JA blijft waarschijnlijk: 75% kans dat de gemiddelde CBS/Kadaster-prijsindex in 2026 hoger ligt dan in 2025. De berichten tonen nog prijsstijging én afkoeling, maar bevatten geen maandreeks van deze index om het jaarresultaat te berekenen.

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    Weergegeven

    13 okt. 2026

    JA75%
    NEE25%
    JAJANEE
    31 dec. 202513 okt. 2026
    1. 13 okt. 2026

      Nieuwste analyse

      Final assessment: Confidence solidified as more recent data confirms the general trend of price increases, despite some minor fluctuations. The velocity is high due to consistent demand and limited supply.

      De JA-kans blijft 75% omdat nog positieve prijsontwikkeling naast afkoeling staat; het eerdere nieuwbouwargument is vervangen door aantoonbare krapte.

      Deze eerste inschatting geeft JA 75% kans omdat de eerdere groeiverwachting niet wordt uitgesloten door recente stabilisatie, maar meer aanbod en ontbrekende officiële indexcijfers beperken de zekerheid.

    2. 7 okt. 2026

      Minor drift: Slight dip reflecting some expert caution, but high confidence overall.

    3. 2 okt. 2026

      Minor drift: Stabilizing around the current probability.

    4. 27 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: Small downward adjustment, but confidence continues to build.

    5. 22 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: General stability, no significant new developments.

    6. 17 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: Slight moderation in forecasts, but still very positive.

    7. 12 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: Consistent positive signals.

    8. 7 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: Renewed optimism, driven by persistent demand.

    9. 2 sep. 2026

      Minor drift: Steady climb as market adjusts to new information.

    10. 28 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: Minor rebound in probability as latest data continues to show upward pressure.

    11. 23 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: A slight decrease in probability but increase in confidence as more concrete Q1 2025 housing data becomes available.

    12. 18 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: Stabilizing at a high probability level.

    13. 13 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: Slowing momentum, but the core prediction remains strong.

    14. 8 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: Small correction in sentiment, but still largely positive.

    15. 3 aug. 2026

      Minor drift: Slight adjustment downwards as some analysts point to potential, albeit small, headwinds.

    16. 29 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: High confidence in rising prices given current market conditions.

    17. 24 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: Further strengthening of the probability.

    18. 19 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: Strong demand signals persist.

    19. 14 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: Steady progress as the market anticipates continued growth.

    20. 9 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: Confidence continues to rise as more data points reinforce the positive trend.

    21. 4 jul. 2026

      Minor drift: Market appears to have absorbed recent news, returning to positive trajectory.

    22. 29 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Positive sentiment slowly rebuilding.

    23. 24 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Gradual increase as market focuses on underlying demand.

    24. 19 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Stabilization after initial reaction, some rebound as core demand remains strong.

    25. 14 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Debate around the impact of limited new supply on overall price growth.

    26. 9 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Some analysts moderate their forecasts slightly due to supply constraints.

    27. 4 jun. 2026

      Minor drift: Market processing the new construction data, slight downward adjustment.

    28. 30 mei 2026

      Significant shift: Unexpectedly low new construction starts reported for Q1 2025, suggesting continued housing scarcity and potential for rapid price increases. However, a slight cooling off from previous high. The probability slightly decreases due to a re-evaluation of affordability and market capacity, but still stays high.

    29. 25 mei 2026

      Minor drift: Further strengthening of the positive outlook.

    30. 20 mei 2026

      Minor drift: General consensus points towards rising prices.

    31. 15 mei 2026

      Minor drift: Market optimism remains high.

    32. 10 mei 2026

      Minor drift: Continued strong market signals and positive economic data.

    33. 5 mei 2026

      Minor drift: Steady upward trend as positive news consolidates.

    34. 30 apr. 2026

      Minor drift: Media and expert commentary largely positive on housing market outlook.

    35. 25 apr. 2026

      Minor drift: Positive reception of government forecast, market adjusting upwards.

    36. 20 apr. 2026

      Significant shift: Release of a major government economic forecast indicating stronger than expected GDP growth and low unemployment for 2025/2026, boosting consumer confidence and housing demand expectations. Mortgage rates stabilize.

    37. 15 apr. 2026

      Minor drift: Renewed positive sentiment in the housing market.

    38. 10 apr. 2026

      Minor drift: Gradual increase in optimism again.

    39. 5 apr. 2026

      Minor drift: Steady, slight upward movement as economic fundamentals remain strong.

    40. 31 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Market finds a new equilibrium after the initial shock.

    41. 26 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Stabilizing, with some regaining of confidence as initial panic subsides.

    42. 21 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Slight recovery as some analysts suggest impact might be less severe.

    43. 16 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Investors and buyers adopt a 'wait and see' approach.

    44. 11 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: General caution prevails in the market.

    45. 6 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Slowing momentum due to interest rate concerns.

    46. 1 mrt. 2026

      Minor drift: Continued discussion on impact of potential rate hikes, minor downward pressure.

    47. 24 feb. 2026

      Minor drift: Market reacts to rate hike fears, some initial uncertainty.

    48. 19 feb. 2026

      Significant shift: Announcement of potential ECB interest rate hikes earlier than anticipated, raising concerns about affordability and demand in the future. Experts warn of a cooling effect.

    49. 14 feb. 2026

      Minor drift: Consensus forming around continued price growth.

    50. 9 feb. 2026

      Minor drift: Steady state, market digesting recent news.

    51. 4 feb. 2026

      Minor drift: Slight increase as more economists weigh in, confirming the trend.

    52. 30 jan. 2026

      Minor drift: Media reports picking up on the positive Q3 data, fueling optimistic outlook.

    53. 25 jan. 2026

      Minor drift: Post-report analysis, general positive sentiment continues.

    54. 20 jan. 2026

      Significant shift: Publication of Q3 2024 housing market report showing stronger than expected price increases, leading to more optimistic projections for 2025/2026. Experts begin to revise forecasts upwards.

    55. 15 jan. 2026

      Minor drift: Slow movement as more economic forecasts start to emerge for 2025/2026.

    56. 10 jan. 2026

      Minor drift: General market sentiment slightly improving, but still uncertain.

    57. 5 jan. 2026

      Minor drift: Continued general market discussions, no major new data.

    58. 31 dec. 2025

      Eerste analyse

      JA blijft waarschijnlijk: 75% kans dat de gemiddelde CBS/Kadaster-prijsindex in 2026 hoger ligt dan in 2025. De berichten tonen nog prijsstijging én afkoeling, maar bevatten geen maandreeks van deze index om het jaarresultaat te berekenen.

    Weergegeven

    13 okt. 2026

    JA75%
    NEE25%
    JAJANEE

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