Evaluating risks of cascading sovereign defaults given rising interest rates and ballooning government debts.
Global sovereign debt is at historically high levels, exacerbated by extensive borrowing during the pandemic and recent inflationary pressures. Central banks are responding with aggressive interest rate hikes, increasing the cost of servicing these debts. This creates a precarious situation, especially for highly indebted nations and those with significant foreign currency denominated debt, raising concerns about potential sovereign defaults and a wider financial crisis.
Will the recent trend of nationalizing critical mineral resources (e.g., lithium, rare earths) by several developing nations lead to significant supply chain disruptions for major global industries by 2028?
65%Several developing nations are increasingly moving to nationalize their critical mineral resources, citing economic sovereignty and resource control. This trend is sparking significant debate about its potential impact on global supply chains for industries reliant on these minerals, particularly for electric vehicles, renewable energy, and advanced electronics.
Will the growing global momentum for re-shoring and near-shoring supply chains, driven by geopolitical tensions and economic nationalism, lead to a significant decrease in globalized manufacturing and trade by 2030?
65%Amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions, trade disputes, and calls for economic resilience, the movement towards bringing manufacturing closer to home or to allied nations is a major topic of discussion regarding its long-term impact on global trade and economic interconnectedness.
Will the US dollar lose reserve currency status by 2035?
45%Analyzing de-dollarization trends, BRICS alternatives, and the structural advantages keeping USD dominant.
Will the continued global economic instability, coupled with high inflation and cost-of-living crises, lead to a significant increase in social unrest and political instability across developed nations by 2028?
65%The ongoing economic challenges, including persistent inflation, rising interest rates, and stagnant wages, are heavily discussed across news outlets and social media, with many questioning their long-term societal and political ramifications in developed countries.
Impact of aging populations on global economy
90%Mapping how demographic shifts in Europe, Japan, China, and South Korea will reshape labor markets and growth.