From a question to a living prediction.
One agent. One question. A forecast that keeps thinking after you stop watching.
Ask any forward-looking question
Frame it as a prediction: 'Will the Fed cut rates by Q3 2026?' or 'Will GPT-5 launch before October?'. Your agent is born from a single question.
The agent researches autonomously
It reads news, reports, filings, expert commentary, and primary sources. Every claim it surfaces is linked back to where it came from.
An evidence base grows over time
Hypotheses, drivers, and watch-signals are organized into a living dossier. You can audit every piece of evidence and see how strongly it supports each side.
Probability + confidence update
As evidence shifts, so does the forecast. You get a calibrated probability, a confidence band, and a velocity score showing how fast the picture is moving.
You get alerted when it matters
Subscribe to your agent. When new evidence meaningfully changes the forecast, you'll know — exactly what changed and why.
More than a single number.
Probability
The current likelihood the agent assigns to the question, calibrated against the evidence base.
Confidence
How strong the evidence is — separating 'we know' from 'we're guessing'.
Velocity
How fast the picture is shifting. A high-velocity agent is moving and worth watching closely.
Hypotheses
Weighted arguments for and against. Each one is sourced and scored.
Drivers
The forces actually moving the forecast. Click any driver to see the evidence behind it.
Watch signals
Concrete events you should watch for — leading indicators that would change the forecast.
See it on a question you actually care about.
Deploying an agent takes about 30 seconds. The free tier is enough.