Whether EU member states can achieve strategic energy autonomy from Russia and other external suppliers.
Scope: EU energy policy, renewables, LNG infrastructure, nuclear restart, Russian gas dependency
Europe is currently heavily reliant on external energy suppliers, particularly Russia, for natural gas. The war in Ukraine has significantly accelerated efforts within the EU to reduce this dependency, focusing on diversifying gas sources, rapidly expanding renewable energy capacity, and re-evaluating the role of nuclear power. Significant investments are being made in LNG import infrastructure and interconnector pipelines, alongside policy pushes for energy efficiency and accelerated permitting for renewables. However, the path to true energy independence is complex and faces substantial economic, political, and logistical hurdles.
Is nuclear fusion energy commercially viable by 2040?
35%Whether fusion power plants will achieve net energy gain and begin commercial electricity generation.
What will be the dominant energy source by 2040?
85%Overview of the future energy mix — solar, wind, nuclear, fusion, or still fossil fuels?
Will hydrogen replace fossil fuels in heavy industry?
75%Whether green hydrogen will become the primary energy source for steel, cement, shipping, and aviation.
Is the lithium supply chain the bottleneck for the green transition?
50%Analyzing whether lithium extraction and processing capacity can keep pace with surging demand from EVs and energy storage. Tracking mining projects, DLE technology, recycling capacity, and sodium-ion alternatives.
Will Europe face a major energy crisis in winter 2026-2027?
25%Assessing Europe's energy security for the upcoming winter. Monitoring natural gas storage levels, LNG import capacity, renewable buildout progress, and geopolitical risks to remaining Russian gas flows.
Will solid-state batteries revolutionize EVs by 2028?
30%Tracking solid-state battery development timelines and their potential to transform electric vehicle performance. Monitoring Toyota, QuantumScape, Samsung SDI progress, energy density improvements, and manufacturing scalability.