Whether falling birth rates worldwide will lead to absolute population decline earlier than UN projections.
Scope: Fertility rates, demographic transition, immigration, economic incentives
The global population is currently still growing, albeit at a slowing rate. The United Nations projects the global population to peak around 2080-2090. However, significant declines in fertility rates in many countries have led to speculation that a global population decline could occur sooner than these projections, potentially before 2060. This is driven by various factors, including socioeconomic development, access to education and healthcare, and changing cultural norms.
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